Political Prediction Markets: Webcast for the Uninitiated

Very few readers of this blog are strangers to political prediction markets. But if you are new to this and interested in learning more, here’s some help: A podcast of a talk I gave at the recent CFA Institute annual conference in Vancouver. Or if you prefer to see the video and slides as well, here’s a webcast of a talk I did for CFA in 2007.

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  1. theinvestingspeculator says:

    On policital predictions, you can’t look at the polls. I think Intertrade is where the smart money is. Obama is going to when. He is going to raise taxes and that is the right thing to do. Three of the smartest men on Wall Street agree with him. I will tell you who they are at

    http://theinvestingspeculator.typepad.com/investing/2008/06/what-do-buffett.html

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  2. tony says:

    Why does the futures market currently predict that Clinton has a 5% chance to be our next president???

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  3. Taint says:

    “Why does the futures market currently predict that Clinton has a 5% chance to be our next president???”

    Ever heard of presidents Lincoln or JFK?

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  4. Gary says:

    “Ever heard of presidents Lincoln or JFK?”

    Or RFK or Nixon?

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  5. T-Bone says:

    Betting on elections is illegal in the US, right? Or is Intertrade a loophole in its method?

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