Every year, for no good reason, I publicly post my Kentucky Derby predictions. It was all well and good until last year, when I confidently stated that the worst horse was one named Mine That Bird.
Unfortunately, Mine That Bird went on to win the race, and even finished second in the Preakness for good measure. You might think that, combined with the fact that not one single person has asked who I like in the Kentucky Derby this year, would be enough to keep my predictions to myself.
Well, no such luck. Here they are.
My top pick this year is Discreetly Mine, a long shot who should go off at nearly 30-1. There are four other horses I like slightly less than that first one: Jackson Bend, Mission Impazible, Ice Box, and Awesome Act. All of those should have odds of about 15-1 to 20-1 at race time.
There is only one horse that I think as ill of as I did with Mine That Bird last year: HomeBoyKris. I would guess fair odds on that horse should be at least 300-1.
If HomeBoyKris wins, I am going to find a new hobby. Maybe needlepointing unless blog readers have a better suggestion.