Hard Knocks: What Price Scrutiny?

The New York Jets looked dreadful last week in a season-opening loss against the Baltimore Ravens. Yesterday, the Jets beat up on the New England Patriots, so Jets fans can breathe a bit easier. Still, you have to wonder if it was a good idea for the Jets — or any team, really — to undergo the scalpel cameras of HBO’s Hard Knocks series, which trails one NFL team through training camp. Put aside the controversy over Rex Ryan‘s very foul mouth; can all that scrutiny really be good for a football team, especially during camp, when a team’s chemistry is supposed to form organically rather than via a reality show?

Hard Knocks has been filming for quite a few years now (with a break from 2003-2006), and below you’ll find the featured team’s record in the two years prior to its Hard Knocks appearance, the year of its appearance, and the year after. Even if filming were to have some effect on the team, there aren’t enough data to say anything meaningful, but they are still fun to look at:

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What’s your prediction on the Jets’ record this year? (And — be honest now — what was your prediction a week ago, after the Ravens loss?)


Ben D

The data seem to suggest that KC is not very good.

Bobby G

10-6 I'd say, up from 9-7 or 8-8 last week.

James Clary

9-7, without better information, always bet on results to remain the same.

Al V.

7-9, but that has nothing to do with "Hard Knocks".

Jay

Is it such a stretch to say it would have a negative affect? Would Jon and Kate still be together without the TV cameras? Would Richard Hatch have went to jail? Would any of the Bachelor/Bachelorettes married?

But while there may be a negative impact on win/loss records and personal lives, there are significant financial gains to be had. Reality stars are now rich and famous, and the Jets have become one of the NFL's most buzzworthy teams (which have certainly boosted the team's bottom line).

So the question is, are the financial gains worth the high risk of screwing up your life/next season. The answer seems to be an overwhelming "yes".

Jeremy

Jets go 10-6

LeonorCMS

Looking at the statistics there seems to be no relevant significance in whether the Jets are affected by the filming. One would expect that after a certain amount of time the athletes would get used to the media attention, and isn't as many say "all press is good press"? Having this team have so much attention from viewers make people more likely to root for this team since they know the players at a much personal level which is portrayed through the show. Having them filmed for so long does not prove that their game has gotten worse, but it does prove to have a benefit, attention from the media. In this situation, the marginal benefit seems to outweigh the marginal cost (marginal cost is not even proven accurately).

More people will be inclined to attend Jets games since they know the players, therefore there will not only be monetary benefit from the show, but rather results are also seen in the stadiums, which attract more viewers/fans than before.

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bryan

Don't the Jets sell out?Why would a team full of primadonnas, in New York, need more attention.Won/ loss record is determined by the schedule and depth minus unnecessary distractions, minus injuries plus how the funny ball bounces. The league is preoccupied with parity ,but yesterday the Jets got lucky.With Revis' injury/distraction,and Jenkins injury and Edwards inconsistency,they'll be lucky to finish 8-8.The show is a mistake.

rui

jets with 15-1

frankenduf

duh- super bowl- whose gonna beat em?

Steven

There's by and far more variables and greater weighted ones that would affect a team's performance over the Hard Knocks camera.

Besides half-way through the season no one is thinking (except for maybe TO and Chad) about how they were portrayed on a TV show.

I would also go to say that since players are already a large main focus of the media as it is that a couple extra cameras during training camp probably doesn't affect them much.

Fittstim

Look, the fact of the matter is that the Jets are not a particularly good team. They got completely dominated by the Ravens and they got completely dominated by the Pats in the 1st half.

During the 2nd half of the game, the Patriots changed their game plan 100% in a bizarre and ultimately futile effort to take advantage of the injury to Revis. Instead of short passes and "moving the chains", they tried for long bombs on each possession resulting in two interceptions and 3-and-outs.

I'm not saying the Jets won't be 8-8 or 9-7 but only a fool and/or a diehard Jets fan thinks that this bunch is getting far in the playoffs - with or without the effect from Hard Look, the fact of the matter is that the Jets are not a particularly good team. They got completely dominated by the Ravens and they got completely dominated by the Pats in the 1st half.

During the 2nd half of the game, the Patriots changed their game plan 100% in a bizarre and ultimately futile effort to take advantage of the injury to Revis. Instead of short passes and "moving the chains", they tried for long bombs on each possession resulting in two interceptions and 3-and-outs.

I'm not saying the Jets won't be 8-8 or 9-7 but only a fool and/or a diehard Jets fan thinks that this bunch is getting far in the playoffs - with or without the effects of Hard Knocks.

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Dylan

Bryan: Don't the jets sell out?

All NFL teams always sell out, otherwise they wouldn't be shown on TV because of NFL rules

I say that Revis getting hurt will help the jets out because it caused them to change strategy and that is why they beat the Pats. I say they finish 10-6 or better easily.