Hispanic Population Growth Now Driven More by Births, Not Immigration

From a Pew Research Center analysis of the latest Census data:

In the decade from 2000 to 2010, the Mexican-American population grew by 7.2 million as a result of births and 4.2 million as a result of new immigrant arrivals. This is a change from the previous two decades when the number of new immigrants either matched or exceeded the number of births.

The current surge in births among Mexican-Americans is largely attributable to the immigration wave that has brought more than 10 million immigrants to the United States from Mexico since 1970. Between 2006 and 2010 alone, more than half (53%) of all Mexican-American births were to Mexican immigrant parents. As a group, these immigrants are more likely than U.S.-born Americans to be in their prime child-bearing years. They also have much higher fertility.

(Source: The Pew Hispanic Center, a project of the Pew Research Center)

Mexican immigration has also fallen substantially in recent years:

According to a Pew Hispanic Center analysis of Mexican government data, the number of Mexicans annually leaving Mexico for the U.S. declined from more than one million in 2006 to 404,000 in 2010-a 60% reduction.2 This is likely a result of recent developments in both the U.S. and Mexico. On the U.S. side, declining job opportunities and increased border enforcement (Passel and Cohn, 2009) may have made the U.S. less attractive to potential Mexican immigrants. And in Mexico, recent strong economic growth may have reduced the “push” factors that often lead Mexicans to emigrate to the U.S. As a result, there were fewer new immigrant arrivals to the U.S. from Mexico in the 2000s (4.2 million) than in the 1990s (4.7 million). However, the Mexican-American population continued to grow rapidly, with births accounting for 63% of the 11.2 million increase from 2000 to 2010.

Source: The Pew Hispanic Center, a project of the Pew Research Center

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COMMENTS: 23


  1. BSK says:

    So now the xenophobic folks will decry Hispanics for being hypersexualized instead of law-breaking border jumpers? Great!

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    • Ali says:

      Actually, they’re both. Many of the “immigrants” referred to in this piece are illegal aliens who are giving birth in this country at our expense. 30% of the welfare recipients in California live in households headed by illegal aliens who collect welfare on behalf of their US-born kids. And you wonder why Americans are fed up?

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      • BSK says:

        Stats? Citations? Anything?

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      • prado says:

        Americans demanding and consume the goods and services produced by illegal aliens and immigration policy sets the number of immigration visas artificially low to supply the numbers of workers to meet this demand. We can either stop demanding and consuming the goods and services produced by illegal aliens and/or increase the number of immigration visas for the workers that come/stay here illegally that produce the goods and services that we demand and consume.

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  2. trip says:

    You could ask any resident of Southern California and wouldn’t need a study to tell you – Mexican parents, on average, have more children than any other race.

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  3. Mark Wolfinger says:

    It’s not that they are more fertile. It is because they belong to a church that blackmails its members (with threats of eternal damnation) if they do not produce babies on a regular basis.

    The problem is not with Mexicans. It is their church.

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    • Alex in KY says:

      There are over a billion of us Catholics in the world. Why have we not over run the entire world based on your logic? I live in a very Catholic city, but for some reason we have not spread to the rest of the state with our “out of control breeding” just because you are a bigot does not give you the right to spew your hate.

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    • VivaMéxico! says:

      I am Mexican and catholic. There’s no such thing as a Mexican chuch: my friends (and fellow Mexicans) are mormon, methodists, jews, and catholics. There’s also no threat of eternal damnation for childless catholics: when I marry, I can have as many children as my spouse and I want, which can also be zero.

      Warm greetings from your southern neighbor :)

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  4. Clancy says:

    Not to split hairs, but Hispanic and Mexican-American are not the same thing.

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  5. Eric M. Jones. says:

    Hidden due to low comment rating. Click here to see.

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    • Ali says:

      We don’t need people and if Mexicans are so wonderful, why is it so many of them love their country only when they don’t live in it?

      It’s noteworthy that Hispanics have the highest drop out rates, a rate of unwed births that’s twice that of Blacks, and high and rising teen pregnancies, all of which are precursors to poverty. Mexicans will not “do just fine”, particularly if they maintain their Mexican identities.

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      • Daniel Aguirre says:

        Dear Ali,

        I am a very proud Mexican. I have spent my entire life in Mexico (with the exception of a wonderful trip to Disney in America and a visit to Canada). I think that people here south of the border should also be proud of our Mexican identity. I am not saying there are no good things we can learn from our northern neighbors, because I think we could borrow some values characteristic of Americans, like their excellent work ethic, or their sense of duty toward country. But our rich cultural traditions and historic heritage, our own national soul, is not something we should repudiate in favor of, with all due respect, an “americanization” of our national identity.

        Sincerely yours,

        Daniel Aguirre

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  6. Ali says:

    The authors also ignore the fact that many of those whom they are calling “immigrants” are illegal aliens with no legal right to be in the U.S. And of course, births to immigrants and illegal aliens result in a population increase that is directly due to immigration.

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  7. Alex in KY says:

    I can attest to the fertile part of the story. My wife whose father came from Mexico and mother is 100% mexican recently got married. And three weeks after the wedding we found out she was pregnant.

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    • BSK says:

      A data point of one. GREAT!

      Hey, most, if not all, of the girls on those stupid “16 and Pregnant” shows are white, so we can probably conclude that white girls are uber fertile, right?

      Idiot.

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  8. DaveyNC says:

    I have no problems with immigrants, Hispanic or otherwise. The problem is the qualifier that is inevitably left off whenever someone in the media writes about Hispanic immigrants. That qualifier is the word “illegal”. The problem is the illegal immigrants, not the legal ones.

    Can somebody explain to me why that word doesn’t get written in front of the word “immigrants” in these types of stories?

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    • Ulysses says:

      Certainly giving them a better path to citizenship, so that they might not be relegated to working sub-minimum wage in kitchens, might help ward off some of the poverty social immobility mentioned here. And it may even deter the ones who come here looking for an easy ride with no intention of acquiring citizenship so as to avoid taxes.

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    • BSK says:

      Because maybe they are talking about immigrants who immigrated here legally. You do know that not ALL Hispanic immigrants are illegal, right?

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  9. Brittanicus says:

    Hidden due to low comment rating. Click here to see.

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    • JRB says:

      The US should have an immigration policy that reflects the realities of living and operating in a globalized marketplace in the 21st century. The United States espouse liberal economic principles based on the free flow of goods supported by an unrestrained free market. And yet this cornerstone of the American economic foundation is in direct contradiction with our immigration policy based on realist international relations theory that places national security above all else.
      In other words, we’re burning the farm to save the house, when in reality the house only exists because of the farm.

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      • JRB says:

        Furthermore, we must ask ourselves why immigrants are choosing to stay in the United States rather than leave? Well, if we look at the period following 2001 (9/11) the number of immigrants leaving the US on their own volition has gone down, contributing to the overall number of immigrants, both authorized and unauthorized in the country. The effect of increased border security has not kept immigrants out (many travel hundreds of miles through rough terrain and elements, why would they turn back at the sight of a chain-link fence?) but rather it has kept those that arrive in, fearing that if they leave it may be more difficult to re-enter.

        So, given this consequence, what might happen if we allow amnesty (as if they have done something wrong. We offer amnesty to war criminals and human rights violators, not human beings seeking a better life)? Well, we have given amnesty, under Reagan, The Great. The impact? Nearly 3 million recent Americans came out of the shadows and contributed to a safer America and began paying the share into social services, if they weren’t already. Furthermore, the number of migrants returning voluntarily spiked. Why? Because there were conditions to amnesty such as criminal background checks and many who were aware that they had broken the law and were not eligible decided to leave.

        So tell me again what is so wrong with amnesty and why these people are a threat?

        P.S. 40% of Fortune 500 companies were started by an immigrant or first generation American. They just take, take, take without ever paying their share… sounds like a certain 1%

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