Freakonomics Goes to College, Part 1 (Ep. 86)

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Our latest Freakonomics Radio podcast is called “Freakonomics Goes to College, Part 1.” The gist: what is the true value these days of a college education?

(You can download/subscribe at iTunes, get the RSS feed, listen via the media player above, or read the transcript here.)

As you can tell from the title, this is the first episode of a two-parter. There is so much to say about college that we could have done ten episodes on the topic, but we held ourselves back to two.

The key guests in this first episode are, in order of appearance:

+ Allen Ezell, a former FBI agent who co-authored the book Degree Mills: The Billion-dollar Industry That Has Sold over a Million Fake Diplomas.

+ Karl Rove, the former senior adviser and deputy chief of staff for President George W. Bush. Rove, it turns out, is not a college graduate. He is, however, a published author — of Courage and Consequence: My Life as a Conservative in the Fight.

+ David Card, an economist at Berkeley who has done a lot of research and writing on the value of education.

+ And our own Steve Levitt, who has this to say about college:

LEVITT: The best way I think an economist thinks about the value of education is tries to figure out how the market rewards it and what other benefits come with it. And one thing is clear is that the market puts a tremendous reward on education. So the best estimates that economists have are that each extra year of education that you get is worth about maybe an eight percent increment to your earnings each year for the rest of your life. So it turns out for most people buying a lot of education, or at least for the average person let me say, buying a lot of education is a really good deal.

David Card, meanwhile, helps us think through the upside of education in a down economy:

CARD: I would say that returns are even higher now because of the recession. People aren’t thinking about it right. So they notice that somebody who graduates from college is having a bit of hard time getting a job, or they notice that the unemployment rate for college grads has gone up a little bit. But if you do the right counterfactual and say, “Well, what if I didn’t have a college degree,” it’s much worse. The rise in unemployment was much higher for people with just a high school diploma. As has always been true in every recession, the recession is always worse for less educated people.

Karl Rove warns us not to look upon his trajectory as one to emulate:

ROVE: I mean, I think I was in the last generation that could be stupid enough not to get a college degree. We live in a society in which credentials matter. I mean, the Bill Gateses of the world who go on to found Microsoft after, you know, dropping out of Harvard, are few and far between. The Karl Roves who go on to be, you know, senior adviser to the President after never completing your degree, are few and far between.

And Allen Ezell talks about all the fake diplomas that are circulating out in the world, including thousands upon thousands of medical degrees:

EZELL: As to where these people are that bought those degrees, we don’t have a clue. And I say that because no one in law enforcement, federal law enforcement chased them. We don’t know who they are. We don’t know where they’re employed. Only occasionally will a graduate flush up. He could be practicing in a hospital. He could have something go awry in a medical procedure and then they start looking at his credentials, and then find out that he’s a phony. You would be shocked at the number of people that buy this garbage and then put it on their resume, and then post this online.

You’ll hear how we picked up an extra degree ourselves, via Diploma Makers:

Dubner with a new fake diploma, a Ph.D. in Animal Health

Also: we got an interesting e-mail this morning from someone who’d already listened to the podcast. His name is Tom Breuel and he asks a great question:

We have credit reporting agencies and driving history databases.

Why isn’t there a central database where employers can check quickly whether a degree (e.g., medical degree) was granted to a particular person and granted by an accredited institution?

Sounds like a good business idea to me! How much would your firm be willing to pay in order to easily find out if a job applicant was faking his or her academic credentials?

One good interview that unfortunately got cut for space was with Steve Canale, the manager of global recruiting and staffing services for GE. Here’s a taste of what Canale had to say:

CANALE: One of the things that I’ve done in the past is I’ve talked to parents at the high school in Fairfield. And one of the things that I tell them is after you go to the admissions office at any school, go to the career center. Because it’s a great place to find out whether your son or daughter is going to have a good chance of finding a job, because you can find out what companies actively recruit at the school. And if you can see big-name companies, you kind of know that the education there is valued by employers. … I would say follow your passion, figure out what you have to do. Once you get into a school, what you do there is totally up to you. You could go to a second-tier school, let’s call it, and graduate in the top three percent of your class. And you would have a very bright future, you’d have very high prospects. Some kids today are graduating with $200,000 in debt, $100,000 in debt, and maybe they just weren’t the best consumer, you know, when it came right down to it.

As you can see, the first episode covers quite a bit of ground.

In Part 2, due out in two weeks, we focus on the (fast-rising!) cost of college and try to figure out a) where all the money goes; b) whether, the cost notwithstanding, college is still a good deal; and c) how, specifically, college does what it does.

Thanks for listening!


Anne

Love the idea of maximizing tuition dollars. However, if you're going to have a show on this topic you should really talk to the expert--Peter Feaver, author of GETTING THE BEST OUT OF COLLEGE. He's a professor who has taught 25+ years at Harvard and Duke and has won all kinds of teaching awards, not to mention having worked at the White House on the National Security Council. He knows his stuff.

Josh

Yeah, Feaver would be awesome-- he won the teaching award at Duke. He's got some different perspectives than the norm on the subject for sure.

Jonathan

read "Getting the Best Out of College" huge help and great advice. Peter Feaver and Anne Crossman......Thankyou!

Lucretia

Getting The Best Out Of College is an excellent resource for our family, especially as we start to think of sending 3 kids!

Bob

I came across Feaver's book on GETTING THE MOST OUT OF COLLEGE and passed it on to several High School students headed for college. Their response and one from a parent helped them choose the right college and courses, plus what to look out for as time wasters and unnecessary distractions while in college. I'd like to hear more from him.

Becky

The book Getting the Best Out of College should be read by every single kid heading off to college. If it had been around when I was at the UC in California and I had read and applied it, oh baby, what a different experience I could have had. Great, practical information for every college bound student!

danielle

Getting the most out of college was an awesome read. So helpful. Should be on the req. Reading list for freshman class.

ColdSheep

I like this episode. But how about the non-economic benefits of being educated like being able to make informed decisions and an educated population can vote and make decisions for a better future. But this means that we need to view education as a enriching experience rather than just a means to get more income.

RyanB

I was really hoping you guys would address the issue of measuring the financial outcomes of the diploma'd vs. non-diploma'd being different from the affect getting a diploma has on a person. In scientific terms, there was no control group and thus the study was flawed.

In practical terms, you might consider the diploma'd vs. the non-diploma'd as two groups of people, those that succeeded at a challenge and those that failed (as a generalization). Of course, the group that succeeded at the challenge ended up being richer than those that failed. That doesn't do anything to answer the question how much a degree is worth.

Of course, measuring this affect is extremely difficult. It's not as though we can take a group of kids and pick half of them at random to send to college and the other half don't get to go.

But that doesn't nullify the fact that the studies you're quoting are fatally flawed. I've come to expect Freakonomics to do the clever, logical, scientific thinking to solve hard problems. But in this case you did the obviously flawed, unscientific thing.

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Voice of Reason

It seems to me that the most important aspect of an education is the appraisal (grades) portion of it. Many people don't realize how little information an employer has to go off of when they hire an employee, especially an entry level one. Universities specialize in giving students objective and fair grades for intellectual performance. Some universities are known for being more fair at giving grades than others, and some are known for being harder to get into, and some are known for giving good instruction and education. Which college a student graduates from, their GPA, and which major(s)/minor(s) they had should be more than enough to tell a company what they need to know about a candidates prospects when they have little to no work experience. Even when a candidate has work experience, employers still know that they were able to graduate from that school, and land whatever job they had out of school, and they can do with that information what the please.

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Lindsey

I work in higher education. There is a place employers can check for the credentials for students (degree verification.) It is called the National Student Clearinghouse http://www.studentclearinghouse.org/ Also, it is good practice to require that the potential employee order official transcripts from the school to be sent directly to you. Transcripts are what is important, not necessarily the fancy certificate/diploma - anyone can print one of those. On the back of the transcript, you will find the accreditation of the school. Typically a regional accreditation is what you want to look for, but some national accreditation agencies are legit (some are not).

Rick

So, where is part 2?

Freedml

There was a troubling mistake. When talking about college costs, you mentioned that the current method of providing a college education was a labor-intensive endeavor. You then said that 'productivity' could be increased by adding staff. What you meant to say was 'production' could be increased by adding staff. It is difficult to increase productivity in a labor-intensity operation without changing your method (such as adding self-paced online classes).

While making unauthorized copies of diplomas is clearly immoral and illegal, there is no such immorality or illegality when an institution issues diplomas based on its criteria whether it is accredited or not. The value of any diploma is subjective and mostly depends on the reputation of the institution which issues it.

Finally, if fake diplomas are such a big problem, why are so few people 'caught' using them? You mentioned the example of an anesthesiologist. If a busboy got such a diploma and started putting people under, there is obviously danger there. But, I imagine that people who buy those fake diplomas have sufficient training and merely need a piece of paper to overcome non-pecuniary barriers to entry to this profession.

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Wesley

I work in a research branch of a small science company. There is a good chance our division is bein shut down at the end of this year. As the good chemists with years (16+) look for work and I listened to this podcast, it crossed my mind that a PhD (or an extra PhD) would look awfully good on their resumes, and they would have the knowledge to back it up actually. It would just open some new doors for them in the job hunt. I don't think anyone is going to do it because it would be hard to fake advisors and publications, but the thought crossed my mind.

Brian C. Brazil

I was a little (ok, a lot) disappointed that this podcast explored college from the viewpoint that you can choose to a 4-year university program or working at Walmart. There are a lot of shades in-between, like tech schools, trade schools, and community colleges.

I have a traditional degree in computer science. After 7 years of working as a software engineer, I got to the point where I looked back on my skillset and said "this is the stuff I should have known when I graduated college." While I could do all sorts of crazy proofs as an undergrad, none of that translated to life in the real world.

And now that I'm in a senior position, I try to look for candidates with varied backgrounds. My degree left me so woefully unprepared for the real world, I don't want to hire candidates with the same background.

Tim Martin

With the rising costs in tuition, books and other related expenses in education coupled with the downturn in the economy, many are turning to easy ways to get there degrees. This not an advisable thing to do. There are now so many fraudulent degree mills and diploma scams online sometimes t is hard to tell the legit from the fake. As always, you should do your homework so to speak and research your online institution before enrolling or giving out your credit card number. As pointed out t http://www.diplomamillscam.com and http://www.degreadvice.com, there are "rings" of fake schools popping up everywhere. The fact is that many of these are, in fact, the SAME organization scamming consumers over and over. Be careful and do your homework before FIRST!.

Sima.longfei

I've just about killed myself trying to find the song played at 26:00 in this podcast. Does anyone know what song that is?