The Place to Watch for Palin News?
In the larger scheme of things, the following statement is unimportant, but let me say it anyway: the first time I read the name “Sarah Palin” was in a Marginal Revolution post by Tyler Cowen discussing Palin’s sudden rise on these markets. (Addendum: If I’d been carefully reading our contributor Justin Wolfers‘s WSJ.com column, I’d have seen that he identified Palin about a month ago as the fourth-ranked V.P. possibility.)
So I wonder whether reporters and others will be paying attention to these markets for possible new developments. Note that InTrade has just offered a contract on whether Palin will be removed from the G.O.P. ticket before the election. It will be interesting to see where the bet moves and what kind of heat it generates.
Cowen also posited that Palin may be this year’s Ross Perot, based on her “outside, straight-talker, pro-reform, true-blooded-American, take-no-prisoners image.”
Based on recent news, the more relevant question may be: Is Palin this year’s Thomas Eagleton, who was removed as the V.P. candidate from the 1972 McGovern ticket after intense press coverage about his mental-health history?
Can you imagine what that coverage would have looked like today, with approximately one trillion more media impressions per hour?
A further note on Eagleton: in a recent Times Op-Ed, McGovern reveals that Sargent Shriver, who replaced Eagleton on the ticket, probably would have been the original pick if only cell phones had existed then:
My next choice [after Ted Kennedy] was Sargent Shriver, the first director of the Peace Corps and Senator Kennedy’s brother-in-law, but I could not reach him because he was in the Soviet Union.
I assume there is no one the McCain camp gave up on because of communication problems.