Middle East Despot Watch
I’ve been watching developments in the Middle East and Northern Africa closely.? It can be hard to keep track of it all.? Fortunately, the prediction markets at?InTrade provide a useful barometer.
Which despots will be gone by the end of this year?? Here are the current odds — click through to see these prices fluctuate as the situation develops.
- Libya — Gadaffi😕83%
- Bahrain — Al Khalifa😕62%
- Yemen — Ali Abdullah Saleh😕48%
- Iran — Ahmadinejad😕16%
- Iran — Ayatollah Ali Khamenei😕15%
It will be interesting to see how correlated movements are.? I can already see the title of the paper waiting to be written: “Is revolution contagious?? Evidence from Prediction Markets.”