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When Winning Leads to Winning: A Response

Andrew Gelman suggests a logistic function. It ends up that it doesn’t really matter what curve is fit. For example, consider the figure below (the exact figure requested by Andrew…



What Does the Human Development Index Measure?

…But does it succeed? Andrew Gelman isn’t convinced by this effort. Over at fivethirtyeight.com, he takes a close look at this new state-based index, comparing a state’s ranking in this…



Final Guest-Blog From Seth Roberts

…want to thank Andrew Gelman and Alex Tabarrok who together brought my long eccentric paper to Dubner’s attention. I know Andrew from Berkeley, where we taught a freshman seminar on…



A Reading List for Stats Fans

Andrew Gelman, a statistician at Columbia University, offers some reading suggestions for fans of statistics (no, they are not as numerous as fans of, say, Harry Potter, but still …)….



Calling All Data Memoirists

The statistician Andrew Gelman has asked us to publicize what sounds like a nifty project: a Year-in-the-Life look at what data hounds and statisticians actually do: So here’s the plan….



A Poll Tax on Selfishness

…worth your while to vote in order to impact an election, because of the small probability that any one vote is “pivotal.” But Aaron, together with co-authors Andrew Gelman and…




Meet Our Guest Blogger

…their article. In future posts, I’ll do that. I’ll also write about Andrew Gelman’s interesting comment that “self-experimentation is the opposite of the NIH approach to medical research,” the response…



Prediction Markets at Google: A Guest Post

…for the full research paper; a companion post at the Google blog; a recent write-up in the Times. Other commentary: Marginal Revolution, Andrew Gelman, Zubin Jelveh at Portfolio, Justin Lahart…