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Talk about bad luck: Chicago police, part II

In my last post, I talked about how Chicago police have begun posting pictures on the internet of johns caught soliciting prostitutes.

Based on the numbers given in a Chicago Tribune article, it seemed the chance of arrest for a john, per solicitation, was 1 in 10,000.

So I’m perusing the list of pictures on that web page and as I near the bottom, I see a face that looks familiar, going by the name Kenyuata Hester, arrested on 5/27/2005. The face doesn’t look familiar because I know him, but rather, because I had just seen his picture one minute earlier. Kenyuata also got arrested on June 5th, and appears in another picture on the webpage!!

Two arrests in roughly one week for soliciting prostitution. I guess that tells you what Kenyuata thinks of the stigma of the internet site. It also tells you Kenyuata is mighty unlucky. He was even arrested in two different places.

Think about the odds. 10,000 to 1 on each arrest. If these were the only two times in that period he sought a prostitute, the odds of being caught twice are 100 million to one. Even if he visits the prostitutes every day, the odds are still astronomically against him getting caught twice.

Some guys get lucky and win the lottery against all odds, this guy gets his picture on the web twice in a week.