Found on a blackboard at the University of Chicago

I found this list of what is supposed to be the future winners of the Nobel Prize in Economics on a blackboard at the U of C, for what it is worth. Who knows whether the people who made the list know what they are talking about. There are about 40 people on the list, and about 2 people get it per year. So if it is accurate, it would cover the next 20 years of winners.

Picking Nobel prize winners is a notoriously difficult task. My guess is that more than half of the winners over the next 20 years are on this list, but no doubt some strong contenders were left off. As evidence of this, less than half of Matt Kahn’s thoughtful predictions at MarginalRevolution made this list.

Anyway, here is the list, which I put into alphabetical order:

Barro
Bernheim
Card
Doug Diamond
Peter Diamond
Dixit
Fama
Feldstein
French
Goldin
Gene Grossman
Sandy Grossman
Hall
Lars Hansen
Hart
Helpman
Holmstrom
Jorgenson
Kreps
Krugman
Milgrom
Mortenson
Murphy
Myerson
Newey
Obsfeldt
Pakes
Phelps
Pissarides
Posner
Rabin
Rajan
Rogoff
Paul Romer
Sargent
Shleifer
Sutton
Thaler
Tirole
Williamson
Wilson

If you believe your name (or someone else’s) deserves to be on it let me know and we can start a new list.