Taed

The high bidder wasn't bidding against themself, but they were increasing their bid in the last minutes of the auction to try to outbid the (then current) high bidder, who ultimately lost.

I went through "Completed Items" and comparable auctions of GHIII alone (no console, no other games) and the highest that I found was only $192, and it seems that most get sold in the $95-120 range.

The bidding of the above required two bidders to bid 45 times what the otherwise highest price was.

So, there may be a real eBay page, but were those two high bidders real bidders? The second-to-highest bidder had no feedback, so it's possible that they're fake.

The high bidder, though, had a feedback of 270, so they certainly seem real, but seemingly insane?

However, I'm still skeptical since they could have easily gotten the same item by bidding $200 on another auction.

Also, does anyone know why the "with receipt" is such a key feature in the auctions for that item? I saw it on many of the auctions? A way to prove that it's not a knockoff copy? I wouldn't think that it would be so the buyer could return it -- who would buy an item like that only to want to possibly return it? (And without a receipt, one could always get store credit.) Maybe for some rebate promotion?

Read more...

Blaise Pascal

90+ named steroid-using players, 46 of whom played better than their own career average in the year or two after using steroids.

Someone with better access to statistics than me needs to run the numbers... Can the null hypothesis (that steroids don't do diddly) be ruled out based on the available evidence?

Charles

$9000?! I guess I'm not getting Guitar Hero 3 for my Wii this Christmas.

Emmanuel

I'm not sure that "hackers" is the right term here.

As for the story about the ebay dad, I not sure if it is "real". From time to time people write long and interesting anecdotes on eBay, which are then shared on sites like digg, which in turns brings a lot of people to the auction.

So, funny story, or very smart marketing ?

Ian

While I applaud the effort, there seems to be a lot left unanswered by simply observing that 46 players improved in at least one of the two seasons following their first established link to performance enhancing substances.

Isn't it normal for a player's stats to fluctuate from year to year? Stats for clean players sometimes go up, and sometimes go down. It seems we would either need to see a) consistent improvement among all (or near all) steroid users, or b) marked improvement from some (improvement beyond some sort of standard deviation reflecting typical changes from year to year.

Second, is measuring "improvement" in OPS and ERA the right measure? Aren't many players (especially pitchers) taking substances to rehab quicker from injuries, or to allow them to rehab quicker between starts? If so, a pitcher with a 2.5 ERA who gets injured and is supposed to be out for two months, may nevertheless take steroids to quicken his return to the mound. Perhaps he gets back in 2 weeks, 6 weeks early, but his ERA is 3.0. Despite is increased ERA, he nevertheless has obtained a competitive advantage.

Read more...

WanderingTaoist

I thought it was a fake, but here's the link to the real auction http://cgi.ebay.com/******-Hero-III-3-Legends-of-Rock-Wii-NEW-WITH-RECEIPT_W0QQitemZ200181539427QQihZ010QQcategoryZ62053QQssPageNameZWDVWQQrdZ1QQcmdZViewItem

Bidding history is interesting, the winner was actually outbidding himself.

Taed

The high bidder wasn't bidding against themself, but they were increasing their bid in the last minutes of the auction to try to outbid the (then current) high bidder, who ultimately lost.

I went through "Completed Items" and comparable auctions of GHIII alone (no console, no other games) and the highest that I found was only $192, and it seems that most get sold in the $95-120 range.

The bidding of the above required two bidders to bid 45 times what the otherwise highest price was.

So, there may be a real eBay page, but were those two high bidders real bidders? The second-to-highest bidder had no feedback, so it's possible that they're fake.

The high bidder, though, had a feedback of 270, so they certainly seem real, but seemingly insane?

However, I'm still skeptical since they could have easily gotten the same item by bidding $200 on another auction.

Also, does anyone know why the "with receipt" is such a key feature in the auctions for that item? I saw it on many of the auctions? A way to prove that it's not a knockoff copy? I wouldn't think that it would be so the buyer could return it -- who would buy an item like that only to want to possibly return it? (And without a receipt, one could always get store credit.) Maybe for some rebate promotion?

Read more...

Blaise Pascal

90+ named steroid-using players, 46 of whom played better than their own career average in the year or two after using steroids.

Someone with better access to statistics than me needs to run the numbers... Can the null hypothesis (that steroids don't do diddly) be ruled out based on the available evidence?

Charles

$9000?! I guess I'm not getting Guitar Hero 3 for my Wii this Christmas.

Emmanuel

I'm not sure that "hackers" is the right term here.

As for the story about the ebay dad, I not sure if it is "real". From time to time people write long and interesting anecdotes on eBay, which are then shared on sites like digg, which in turns brings a lot of people to the auction.

So, funny story, or very smart marketing ?

Ian

While I applaud the effort, there seems to be a lot left unanswered by simply observing that 46 players improved in at least one of the two seasons following their first established link to performance enhancing substances.

Isn't it normal for a player's stats to fluctuate from year to year? Stats for clean players sometimes go up, and sometimes go down. It seems we would either need to see a) consistent improvement among all (or near all) steroid users, or b) marked improvement from some (improvement beyond some sort of standard deviation reflecting typical changes from year to year.

Second, is measuring "improvement" in OPS and ERA the right measure? Aren't many players (especially pitchers) taking substances to rehab quicker from injuries, or to allow them to rehab quicker between starts? If so, a pitcher with a 2.5 ERA who gets injured and is supposed to be out for two months, may nevertheless take steroids to quicken his return to the mound. Perhaps he gets back in 2 weeks, 6 weeks early, but his ERA is 3.0. Despite is increased ERA, he nevertheless has obtained a competitive advantage.

Read more...

WanderingTaoist

I thought it was a fake, but here's the link to the real auction http://cgi.ebay.com/******-Hero-III-3-Legends-of-Rock-Wii-NEW-WITH-RECEIPT_W0QQitemZ200181539427QQihZ010QQcategoryZ62053QQssPageNameZWDVWQQrdZ1QQcmdZViewItem

Bidding history is interesting, the winner was actually outbidding himself.