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Krugman vs. Ferguson: Letting the Data Speak

…extracts the probabilities implied by option prices on those dates. (Wonkish detail: I used the January 2011 options on the iShares Barclays 20+ Year Treasury Bond exchange-traded fund (TLT) and…



Uncertainty and the Fed

…may well arise at some point. If this happens, the policy “mistake” of interest rates being too low in 2010 could be easily undone by higher interest rates in 2011….



The Return of Freakonomics Radio

…for now, turning weekly in early 2011). A Freakonomics Radio segment on APM’s Marketplace every two weeks. A series of one-hour programs to be broadcast on public-radio stations across the…






Brookings Scholars Reverse Course on… Everything

…reauthorized by September 30, 2011, and we can only hope that Congress heeds Haskins’ advice.   Wharton professor gets haircut for charity Penn Current – Justin Wolfers, an associate professor…







Football Freakonomics: The Frozen Conundrum

(Photo: macwagen) The following is a cross-post from NFL.com, where we’ve recently launched a Football Freakonomics project. Well, it’s January. And even though my team stumbled into inglorious, injury-plagued defeat,…




Women, Thinking About Relocating?

…gender gap in those categories in 2011. Just this week, the country’s Senate passed a bill aimed at ending gender discrimination in the workplace. A 2009 “Magna Carta of Women”…





Piracy's Next Frontier

…Guinea, where 32 incidents, including five hijackings, were reported in 2012, versus 25 in 2011. In Nigeria alone there were 17 reports, compared to six in 2011. Togo reported five…



Why Knockoffs Can Help Build a Strong Brand

…desirability of the brand, sparking trend-driven consumption that spills over—or up—to the original version. Gosline’s and Barnett’s findings are broadly reinforced by other recent research. A 2011 study by economist…




A Health Upside of Natural Gas

…the variation across space and time in the expansion of natural gas infrastructure in Turkish provinces using data between 2001 and 2011. Our results indicate that the rate of increase…





Good News for Child Obesity

…Disease Control (CDC) shows obesity rates dropping for low-income preschool children in 19 states between 2008 and 2011. From the Wall Street Journal: The obesity analysis, by the federal Centers…



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Episode 59

Do Dreams Actually Mean Anything?

Also: why is music so memorable?…

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Episode 434

Is New York City Over?

The pandemic has hit America’s biggest city particularly hard. Amidst a deep fiscal hole, rising homicides, and a flight to the suburbs, some people think the city is heading back…

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Episode 410

What Does Covid-19 Mean for Cities (and Marriages)?

There are a lot of upsides to urban density — but viral contagion is not one of them. Also: a nationwide lockdown will show if familiarity really breeds contempt. And:…

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Episode 439

Please Get Your Noise Out of My Ears

The modern world overwhelms us with sounds we didn’t ask for, like car alarms and cell-phone “halfalogues.” What does all this noise cost us in terms of productivity, health, and…

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Episode 441

Does Advertising Actually Work? (Part 2: Digital)

Google and Facebook are worth a combined $2 trillion, with the vast majority of their revenue coming from advertising. In our previous episode, we learned that TV advertising is much…

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Episode 263

In Praise of Maintenance (Replay)

Has our culture’s obsession with innovation led us to neglect the fact that things also need to be taken care of?

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Episode 312

Not Your Grandmother’s I.M.F.

The International Monetary Fund has long been the “lender of last resort” for economies in crisis. Christine Lagarde, who runs the institution, would like to prevent those crises from ever…