Netflix $1 million prize
…they liked or disliked other movies. We use those predictions to make personal movie recommendations based on each customer’s unique tastes. And while Cinematch is doing pretty well, it can…
…they liked or disliked other movies. We use those predictions to make personal movie recommendations based on each customer’s unique tastes. And while Cinematch is doing pretty well, it can…
…rape. He then does a nice thing in the paper, going beyond just this one prediction to test other hypotheses, like do crimes other than rape fall with the internet…
A few months ago Netflix offered a million dollar prize to anyone who could improve their prediction algorithm 10%. Judging from the progress made so far (a 5% improvement and…
…answer: “What other medical orthodoxies might join hormone replacement therapy and stenting on the ever-growing list of discredited interventions?” I have one prediction: late-stage chemotherapy for many types of cancer….
…that the Bunk is too good not to be hiding something. 2. Prediction No. 1: McNulty and the Bunk will split. The observation regarding Bunk’s detective work led to a…
…evidence of intelligent signals from space. Other projects include movements for healthcare in Africa, climate prediction models, and research seeking cures for muscular dystrophy, cancer and AIDS. So if you’ve…
…Informed Reader blog.) Tim Harford, the Undercover Economist, analyzes on Slate whether political prediction markets (a subject we’ve touched on often) can be rigged by a candidate (or a rival)…
…prediction market lists the hero’s survival at 90% as of 12:37 AM, EDT. Reuters profiles Mugglenet, a virtual Potter-ized world created by then-12-year-old fan Emerson Spartz that now receives up…
…would mention how he thought a bridge over the Mississippi was going to collapse. We would be calling him Nostradamus today, except that his doomsday prediction was about a different…
…He’s also the former CEO of Scott Adams Foods, Inc., known for such nutritious creations as the Dilberito. In a blog post yesterday about the new prediction market Predictify, I…
…time that optimistic news about a biofuel “that might help save the planet” appeared on this blog. Maybe it is time for the prediction market at PopSci.com to add a…
…would destroy the oligopolistic power of the record industry. This paper did not believe me; the editorial ran instead in the Los Angeles Times. It was an easy prediction to…
…or 8 months, we’ve floated around the 30 to 40 range. When something significant happened — a TV appearance, e.g. — there might be a bump, but it wasn’t usually…
…initial article also misses on its other prediction — namely, that the dancer will spin counter-clockwise for most people. In fact, in our data only 30 percent of the people…
…videos can reside right here in a blog post. Our latest video has Levitt talking about how hard it is for economists to make macroeconomic predictions. I hope everyone in…
How well has the Radiohead experiment fared? (Earlier) Employers adopting personality tests to avoid “hiring jerks”. A “How To” for corporate prediction markets. Are we more likely to vote for…
…and there’s been a virtual flood of press coverage: 1. A report on a new paper about Google’s internal prediction markets (which Justin Wolfers, one of its authors, previewed here);…
Methane-free kangaroo gas could slow global warming. (Earlier) Weather prediction traditionalists face off against modernists. Honda introduces hydrogen-fueled car. (Earlier) Read newspapers on the Web? That could make you an…
…But another prediction emerged: that Omar would dispose of Marlo. “That little f—-t is going to win,” Orlando said assuredly. “You watch: he’ll knock Marlo out, take the body to…
With the Democrats in control of Congress, and with the prediction markets suggesting a Democratic presidential victory, there has been a lot of talk about ending sexual orientation discrimination in…
…fee because they think the probability that he will flee is lower. Indeed, in a truly competitive market, the bail bond percentage fee is one of the oldest prediction markets….
…got that look,” Tony-T said, “like he’s ready to climb. But you know the saying, ‘the higher you climb, the harder you fall.’” Tony-T offered a prediction: the reporter would…
…builds a better bridge to the prediction markets. Just after the poll was announced, Intrade had Romney’s probability of winning in California as 94 percent (pretty close to the 92.7…
…excelling in school cool, or at least less stigmatizing than it otherwise seems to be in many schools. My prediction: it will not be long before a bunch of NYC…
…date and site come back with predictions about the probability of cancellation and delay for different airlines serving the route. For example, here are the results for a trip from…
…the 2007 season, just as they had in 2006. But both of those dire predictions turned out to be high of the mark — 2006 and 2007 turned out to…
…the utterance. The earliest version I have found was printed in the Arkansas Democrat-Gazette, October 30, 1984. Can anyone point me to evidence of earlier usage than that? Also, some…
…who thinks this is a good idea, then please add a link in the comments. My prediction: Perhaps some hot air, but we won’t find any economist willing to support…
…winning. (Sorry, Mike and Danny.) I’m still feeling good about that prediction — although maybe, if the Celtics would un-bury Leon Powe from the bench, I might get proven wrong….
…prediction: The median estimate will be closer than 85 percent of the individual guesses. Oh, and if you happen to be in Stockholm and see a rather tired looking Aussie…