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Stephen J. Dubner

An Interesting New Prediction Market

Who doesn’t love a good prediction market? The Economist does and so does Wired — and we certainly do too, as evidenced here and here. Here is a new blog about prediction markets and here is the famous Iowa Electronic Market, which will be a very busy place as the upcoming elections unfold. And who doesn’t love a good poker . . .

10/25/06

Good Morning, America

I’ve always wished that the show would use a comma, as I did above, but I guess commas don’t play on TV. Anyway … I am scheduled to go on GMA tomorrow (Thursday) to talk about a couple of Freakonomics matters. I must say, I really enjoy doing these GMA segments, mostly because it means sitting down for a few . . .

10/25/06

Should the Founder’s Son Be the C.E.O.?

The William Wrigley Jr. Co., which sells mostly chewing gum, named a new CEO yesterday, and in at least one significant way he is different from every CEO that Wrigley has ever had: he is not a Wrigley. The new CEO is William D. Perez, who has also run S.C. Johnson & Co. (another family company) and, for a short . . .

10/24/06

Is the Ground Shifting for Organ Donation?

A few months back, I wrote a blog post called Is America Ready for an Organ Donor Market?, and my answer was “probably not.” (The post was inspired by a pair of OpEds, one by Sally Satel in the N.Y. Times and one by Richard Epstein in the Wall Street Journal.) We subsequently wrote a N.Y. Times column of our . . .

10/23/06

An Obituary You Probably Won’t Read Elsewhere

I once bought a house from a man named Michael Levine, a musician who scores movies, TV shows, etc. Afterward, we became e-mail pals. Last year, when Freakonomics was first published, he wrote to say that Levitt’s research reminded him a good bit of his father’s research. His father, Solomon B. Levine, was also an economist: My dad (now 84) . . .

10/18/06

Freakonomics Born Again

Freakonomics was originally published in April, 2005, with high hopes but low expectations. Now, roughly 2 million U.S. copies and many foreign editions later, we have just published a Revised and Expanded version (here it is on Amazon). I blogged earlier about the differences between the original version and the new one, which includes about 90 pages of new material, . . .

10/18/06

Apparently, There’s No Future in This Thing They Call the Internet

At least not on airplanes. That’s what Boeing has decided. As someone who has bought wireless internet aboard a Boeing flight (I believe it was on Lufthansa, going to Germany), I recently received this e-mail: Dear Customer, On August 17, 2006, the Boeing Company announced that after a detailed analysis of the Connexion by Boeing business, the company has decided . . .

10/13/06

This Is the Sound of Chinks Appearing in Armor

There have been many discussions on this blog, probably too many, about Realtors. (Click here or here or here, or, if you’re really twisted, just type “Realtor” in this page’s search box.) The gist? The National Association of Realtors has done a great job protecting its members but at the expense of allowing homesellers and buyers to enjoy a truly . . .

10/13/06

Get Into Jail Free

A 62-year-old man in Columbus, Ohio, robs a bank and promptly turns in the cash — and himself. Why? According to this CNN article, because he’s jobless and broke, and wants to get sent to jail to get his three square meals. The judge obliged, giving him a three-year sentence. It’s too bad this news didn’t break until he’d already . . .

10/12/06

Floyd Landis Takes His Case to the People

This, ladies and gentlemen, is what the Internet was created for: Floyd Landis, the tainted Tour de France winner, has used his website to post a voluminous defense against doping charges. The material includes: + his attorney’s motion for dismissal + a “complete World Anti-Doping Agency document package, inclusive of the testing information from Landis’s ‘A’and ‘B’ samples” + a . . .

10/12/06

If Only God Had Had Corporate Sponsorship…

… in the book of Genesis, when the world is created. Can you imagine the loot He could have landed for the naming rights of every animal, mineral, and vegetable? If God was unlucky to toil in the days before corporate sponsorship, at least the Chicago White Sox, thank God, are not so unlucky. They have just announced that for . . .

10/11/06

Menthol Cigarettes Apparently Too Damn Tasty

There’s a really interesting profile of Tavis Smiley in today’s N.Y. Times. (FWIW, Levitt and I were on his talk show back in July.) Smiley is perhaps best known these days for putting together The Covenant With Black America, a collection of essays about education, health care, crime, finance, and so on. The implicit point is that black America still . . .

10/10/06

You Know It’s a Slow News Day When …

… you read this headline on the front page of Yahoo! News: “World’s 15th-Largest Rough Diamond Sold.” I guess the owners of the fourteen larger rough diamonds are too busy celebrating Columbus Day to make a deal.

10/9/06

If Joe Torre Is Fired, Why?

I am one of those people who grew up living, breathing, and playing baseball but who has since become a casual observer at best. That said, since I live in New York it’s hard to not get caught up in the apocalyptic reaction to the Yankees’ elimination (and, though it has far less Shakespearian gravitas, the Mets’ currently lovely position). . . .

10/9/06

Did Too Many Smart Women Opt Out of Teaching?

I have long heard the argument that one reason for the decline in teacher quality in U.S. schools (if in fact there has been such a decline) was the feminist movement. The argument goes like this: until the mid-1960’s or so, teaching was one of the few career paths wide open to women; as feminism opened up opportunities for women . . .

10/6/06

Note to Realtors: You May Want to Skip This One

In the interest of not piling on, I was initially reluctant to mention this working paper, posted on the AEI-Brookings Joint Center for Regulatory Studies website, about the flaws in the commission structure used by Realtors. Especially since its author, an attorney for the federal government named Mark S. Nadel, cites our book as well as a more recent article . . .

10/6/06

Hugo Chavez Doesn’t Think Noam Chomsky Is Dead After All

There’s a pretty fascinating Editors’ Note in today’s New York Times concerning Hugo Chavez and Noam Chomsky. (An Editors’ Note is the most serious of three types of corrections the Times runs; the other two types are called For the Record and Corrections.) You all probably all remember Chavez’s performance at the United Nations a couple weeks ago, during which . . .

10/6/06

The Allure of Freakonomics

I’m not much for fashion magazines, but judging from my wife’s reading habits, Allure is a pretty good one. That’s why I was happy when a nice blogger named Elsa Kaminsky (whose blog combines her interests in economics and fashion) alerted us that a copy of Freakonomics can be seen poking out of a model’s Chanel bag in the current . . .

10/3/06

Let Your Fingers Do the Walking … to Find a Surgeon?

Ever wonder what are the most common searches among Yellow Pages users? Here’s a list of the top 300 categories, from the Yellow Pages Association research institute. The top 10 categories are: 1. Restaurants 2. Physicians and Surgeons 3. Automobile Parts 4. Automobile Repairing & Service 5. Pizza 6. Attorneys/Lawyers 7. Automobile Dealers 8. Dentists 9. Hospitals 10. Plumbing Contractors . . .

10/3/06

Cocaine Everywhere You Look

Eric Clapton famously stopped performing the J.J. Cale song “Cocaine” once he got sober. But now he’s resumed. Why? After all these years, Clapton decided that the song is in fact anti-drug; plus, he admits, he just really missed playing the guitar riff. In other cocaine news, there’s a new carbonated energy drink called Cocaine, with about three times the . . .

10/3/06

What Is Vladimir Kramnik Doing in That Bathroom?

I posted earlier about how Soviet chess players used to collude in international tournaments. As documented in today’s New York Times, and far more thoroughly on chessbase.com, we learn that the world chess championship has come to a halt because Veselin Topalov of Bulgaria filed a protest against his opponent, Vladimir Kramnik of Russia. Kramnik was leading 3-1 at the . . .

9/29/06

Why Don’t Flight Attendants Get Tipped?

Think of all the service people who habitually get tips: hotel bellmen, taxi drivers, waiters and waitresses, the guys who handle curbside baggage at airports, sometimes even the baristas at Starbucks. But not flight attendants. Why not? Maybe it’s because they’re thought to earn a pretty good living and don’t need the tips. Maybe it’s because they’re simply thought to . . .

9/29/06

Freakonomics Joins Federated Media, Foists Survey on Readers

I am pleased to announce that the Freakonomics website is now a part of Federated Media Publishing, a consortium of blogs (including BoingBoing, BuzzMachine, Digg, and GigaOM) founded by John Battelle. This means, among other changes, that our site will now accept advertising. (You may have already spotted a banner for CNBC earlier this week.) We are also planning a . . .

9/28/06

Dental Wisdom

I really like my dentist, Dr. Reiss. He’s in his late 60’s, maybe even in his early 70’s. To say that he knows his way around the mouth is an understatement. But that’s not the only reason I like him. A couple years ago, he told me how he solved a particular problem. Because he’s getting on in years, a . . .

9/27/06

Is the Economic Deck Stacked Against Healthcare for the Elderly?

That’s the question posed by a reader named John from New York City. I am not sure whether he wrote in response to our New York Times column on hand-washing, which has prompted a lot of e-mails on all matters medical. Regardless, John raises an intriguing and important question whose answers I know nothing about, but I’d love to learn . . .

9/25/06

Death to the Microbes

Our latest “Freakonomics” column in the New York Times Magazine is about hospital-acquired bacterial infections, and how doctors don’t always do a very good job of washing their hands, and how one hospital set out to fight this problem. As always, we’ve posted some of the research behind the column elsewhere on this website.

9/22/06

Freakonomics 2.0

Just arrived in the mail is a handsome new book called Freakonomics: Revised and Expanded Edition, which should be in stores in a week or two. (Here is the Amazon link.) As the name implies, it is a little bit revised (mostly correcting errors or things that have changed in the world since the book was originally published, in April . . .

9/20/06

Technical Difficulties

If anyone is still reading this blog, let us offer our apologies for a couple of weeks’ worth of very buggy behavior. The site has often been inaccessible, even to us, which is why we have barely blogged in recent days. The problem seems to be largely the fault of — well, of you. When we started this blog and . . .

9/20/06

F. Scott Fitzgerald Plays the Name Game

The final chapter of Freakonomics is about first names — whether they have an impact on a person’s life and how they travel through the different strata of society. While it’s true that most popular names start out among the middle and upper classes and then travel downward, it’s also true that some old-fashioned names (we cite Max and Sophie . . .

9/15/06

Update on NoPhoneTrees.Com

A few days ago, I posted about GetHuman and Bringo!/NoPhoneTrees.com, two sites that help people deal with customer phone support. I then received this follow-up e-mail from Clement Wang, one of the founders of Bringo, who wanted to respond to some of the reader comments on this blog and elsewhere. It read, in part: I’d like to make a few . . .

9/8/06

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